How to Predict Estradiol and DHT at Different Testosterone Doses

I was able to come up with a table using the predictive model equation derived from data in this study:

The Effects of Injected Testosterone Dose and Age on the Conversion of Testosterone to Estradiol and Dihydrotestosterone in Young and Older Men

Summary​

This video discusses a research paper that explores the effects of different testosterone doses on estradiol and DHT levels in men. The study involved young and older men receiving weekly injections of testosterone for five months. The researchers measured estradiol and DHT blood levels and analyzed the data.

Highlights​

  • The study examined the impact of various testosterone doses on estradiol and DHT levels in men.
  • The research involved young and older men who received testosterone injections for five months.
  • The study measured estradiol and DHT blood levels to understand the effects of testosterone doses.
  • ⚙️ The researchers used a mathematical model to predict estradiol and DHT levels based on testosterone doses.
  • The findings showed that estradiol levels increased with higher testosterone doses, especially in older men.
  • DHT levels also increased with testosterone doses but not as significantly as estradiol.
  • The study suggests that testosterone replacement therapy may require individualized monitoring of estradiol and DHT levels.


The graphs shown in the study (They injected several doses of testosterone enanthate in young and older men) show sensitive estradiol and DHT at different total testosterone blood levels. The curves reach a pseudo plateau at higher TT levels. Older men tended to produce more estradiol and DHT than younger men.

TT E2 DHT.jpg


The equation I used was based on a mathematical model shown in this study that included variables calculated from Michaelis-Menten kinetics.

For older men:

E2 (regular immunoassay- not sensitive)= 138.3xTT/(1470.1+TT)

DHT = 269.4xTT/(2389.6+TT)

TT= Total Testosterone

Here is the table I came up with for older men

Of course, as you can see from the graphs above, there is a lot of variability in values, so these predicted numbers are just representing the curve.

testosterone estradiol DHT.jpg

CLICK HERE TO CALCULATE THE EXPECTED DHT, E2, AND FREE T FROM A TOTAL T VALUE

Since these estradiol values were immunoassay-based, sensitive (LC/MS) values would be lower. How much lower? We don't know since CRP values were not measured. I would multiply the estradiol numbers in the above table by 0.80 to arrive at a guess for sensitive estradiol values.


These were the baseline characteristics of both groups before they received testosterone enanthate injections. Both groups seemed relatively lean to me.

young vs old men estradiol dht baseline.jpg


Treatment protocol:

TE treatment.jpg



MAIN MESSAGE: ESTRADIOL AND DHT "NORMAL RANGES" SHOWN BY LABCORP OR QUEST ARE DERIVED FROM MEN WHO DO NOT HAVE HIGH TESTOSTERONE. MANY MEN ON TRT USUALLY HAVE "HIGHER" TESTOSTERONE THAN "NORMAL", SO THOSE RANGES DO NOT APPLY TO THEM. STOP OBSESSING!

________________________________

Analysis of Testosterone Dose-Response and Conversion to Estradiol and Dihydrotestosterone​

Executive Summary​

This briefing document synthesizes findings from clinical research and expert analysis regarding the conversion of testosterone (T) into its active metabolites: 17β-estradiol (E2) and 5α-dihydrotestosterone (DHT). Based on the study by Lakshman et al. (2010) and subsequent synthesis by health experts, the data indicates that both E2 and DHT levels increase dose-dependently with testosterone administration but follow saturable Michaelis-Menten kinetics.
Critical takeaways include:
  • Age-Related Variations: Older men exhibit significantly higher rates of whole-body aromatization (conversion to E2) compared to younger men, largely due to higher percentage fat mass and Sex Hormone-Binding Globulin (SHBG) levels.
  • Saturable Kinetics: The conversion processes for both E2 and DHT reach a pseudo-plateau at higher testosterone doses, meaning E2 and DHT do not increase indefinitely or linearly as testosterone levels rise.
  • Clinical Relevance of Lab Ranges: Standard "normal ranges" provided by major laboratories (e.g., Quest, LabCorp) are typically derived from men with lower testosterone levels. Consequently, these ranges are often inadequate for evaluating men on Testosterone Replacement Therapy (TRT) who maintain higher-than-average testosterone concentrations.
  • Assay Specificity: Conventional immunoassay-based E2 tests may overstate levels due to interference from factors like C-reactive protein (CRP), necessitating the use of sensitive (LC/MS) testing for accurate clinical assessment.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

dht e2 t DOSES.webp

Detailed Analysis of Testosterone Metabolites​

1. Dose-Dependent Response and Conversion​

The administration of graded doses of testosterone enanthate (TE) results in a clear dose-dependent increase in both serum E2 and DHT. However, these increases are not linear.
  • Estradiol (E2): Produced via peripheral aromatization of testosterone, primarily in adipose tissue. Both total and free E2 increase as the testosterone dose rises.
  • Dihydrotestosterone (DHT): Derived via 5α-reduction of testosterone. While DHT levels increase with higher testosterone doses, the increase is less significant than that observed with E2.
  • Ratios: Interestingly, the E2:T and DHT:T ratios actually decrease as testosterone doses increase, reflecting the saturable nature of the converting enzymes (aromatase and 5α-reductase).

2. The Impact of Aging on Hormonal Conversion​

Age is a primary factor in how the body processes exogenous testosterone. The research identifies distinct differences between young men (ages 18–35) and older men (ages 59–75).

VariableYoung Men ResponseOlder Men Response
Aromatization RateLower maximal rate (Vmax).40% higher Vmax than younger men.
E2 LevelsLower total and free E2.Higher total and free E2.
E2:T RatioLower ratio.Significantly higher ratio.
DHT LevelsHigher at baseline; similar on-treatment.Lower at baseline; similar on-treatment.
Body CompositionLower BMI and fat mass.Higher BMI, fat mass, and SHBG.

The higher rate of aromatization in older men is partly attributed to increased adipose tissue (which contains aromatase) and higher SHBG levels. When adjusted for fat mass and SHBG, the differences in free E2 levels between young and older men become statistically insignificant.

3. Mathematical Modeling of Conversion Kinetics​

The study employed Michaelis-Menten kinetics to model how testosterone is converted into its metabolites. This model uses two primary parameters: Km (the substrate concentration at which the reaction rate is half of Vmax) and Vmax (the maximum reaction rate).
  • Aromatase (T to E2): The estimated in vivo Km for aromatase is 1.83 nM, a value that remains independent of age. However, the Vmax is significantly higher in older men.
  • 5α-reductase (T to DHT): The estimated in vivo Km is 3.35 nM. The maximal whole-body production rate (Vmax) for DHT does not appear to be affected by age.
  • Saturability: Because these processes are saturable, the curves for E2 and DHT reach a "pseudo plateau" at high total testosterone (TT) levels.

Predictive Equations for Older Men​

Based on the Michaelis-Menten model, the following equations can be used to predict hormone levels in older men:
  • E2 (Immunoassay): 138.3 \times TT / (1470.1 + TT)
  • DHT (ng/dL): 269.4 \times TT / (2389.6 + TT) (Note: To estimate "sensitive" LC/MS E2 levels, a reduction of approximately 20% from the immunoassay result is suggested.)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Clinical Implications and Laboratory Standards​

Inadequacy of Standard Reference Ranges​

A central conclusion of the analyzed context is that the "normal ranges" for E2 and DHT provided by commercial labs are often misleading for TRT patients. These ranges are derived from a general population with "normal" (often lower) testosterone levels. Men on TRT frequently maintain testosterone levels at the high end of, or above, the standard range; therefore, their E2 and DHT levels will naturally be "high" according to standard reference intervals without necessarily indicating a clinical pathology.

Assay Sensitivity and Interference​

The method of testing significantly impacts the reported E2 value.
  • Immunoassay (RIA): These tests are known for reduced specificity, particularly at lower concentrations. Evidence suggests that C-reactive protein (CRP) or associated inflammatory factors can interfere with immunoassays, causing them to overstate E2 levels.
  • Mass Spectrometry (LC/MS): Often referred to as "sensitive" or "ultrasensitive" testing, this is the gold standard. It correlates moderately with immunoassays but is not susceptible to the same inflammatory interference.

Clinical Management Observations​

  • Gynecomastia: High doses of testosterone are occasionally associated with gynecomastia. While E2:T ratios actually decrease at high doses, the absolute concentration of E2 may reach levels sufficient to trigger the condition.
  • Estrogen Thresholds: While very low E2 is linked to bone loss, fracture risk, and cognitive decline, excessively high E2 has been associated in some studies with stroke and metabolic syndrome. The research suggests a need for individualized monitoring rather than adhering to rigid, population-based ranges.
  • Inflammation: Because CRP can artificially inflate immunoassay E2 results, clinicians should be wary of "high" E2 readings in patients with systemic inflammation.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Study Methodology and Baseline Data​

The findings are derived from a five-month study involving 51 young men and 52 older men.
  • Suppression: Endogenous testosterone was suppressed using a monthly GnRH agonist (leuprolide depot, 7.5 mg).
  • Administration: Participants received weekly injections of testosterone enanthate at randomized doses (25, 50, 125, 300, or 600 mg).
  • Testing: Hormone levels were measured at steady-state (days 84 and 112) exactly seven days after the previous injection.
  • Baseline Differences: At the start of the study, older men had lower total and free testosterone and higher SHBG compared to younger men. Older men also possessed higher fat mass (22.3 kg vs. 14.4 kg in younger men).
 
Last edited:
Nelson Vergel

Nelson Vergel

Thanks for catching that. Table is OK though. There is something else no one has noticed but I will see who does first. :)
Would it be the percentage values of E2 to TT?

EG: at 275 TT the "Percent E2 of TT" is shown as 0.79%, should that not be 7.9% etc?

Maybe I am being crazy ... not sure about this?
 
Would it be the percentage values of E2 to TT?

EG: at 275 TT the "Percent E2 of TT" is shown as 0.79%, should that not be 7.9% etc?

Maybe I am being crazy ... not sure about this?
You must make the units match before calculating the ratio in percent. Testosterone of 275 is measured in ng/dL. Estradiol of 21.8 is measured in pg/mL. To convert pg/mL to ng/dL you divide by 10. So total estradiol is 2.18 ng/dL, and the E2/T ratio is 0.0079, or 0.79%.
 
Hmm
My E2 is quite high 96pg/dL with Total T is 1012ng/dL, my Free T is 26.7pg/mL, SHBG 20.4nmol/L.

Math: (9.6/1012) x 100 = 0.968

So I’m aromatizing almost 1% of my total T into Estradiol…

My doctor has given me a blank slate for blood tests to be run, I’m looking for the whole package… I’m going to search around the posts to see what all I can cram into a list for him.
 
My E2 is quite high 96pg/dL
Is this sensitive (LC/MS) estradiol or ECLIA-based?

My doctor has given me a blank slate for blood tests to be run, I’m looking for the whole package… I’m going to search around the posts to see what all I can cram into a list for him.
Here are a few possibilities depending on how much out-of-pocket you are willing to pay the clinic or as a insurance copay:

 
Is this sensitive (LC/MS) estradiol or ECLIA-based?


Here are a few possibilities depending on how much out-of-pocket you are willing to pay the clinic or as a insurance copay:

This year (01/15/22 10:30 am)
96 pg/mL (H)
Methodology: Roche ECLIA methodology
Performed at: SPOWA - Labcorp Spokane

Last year (05/22/21 7:58 am)
83.7 pg/mL (H)

Methodology: Liquid chromatography tandem mass spectrometry(LC/MS/MS)
Performed at: SPOWA - LabCorp Spokane

I forgot to remind my Dr to order the LC/MS - that’s part of why I’m going to do new labs.
 
I was able to come up with a table using the predictive model equation derived from data in this study:

The Effects of Injected Testosterone Dose and Age on the Conversion of Testosterone to Estradiol and Dihydrotestosterone in Young and Older Men



The graphs shown in the study (They injected several doses of testosterone enanthate in young and older men) show sensitive estradiol and DHT at different total testosterone blood levels. The curves reach a pseudo plateau at higher TT levels. Older men tended to produce more estradiol and DHT than younger men.

View attachment 9467

The equation I used was based on a mathematical model shown in this study that included variables calculated from Michaelis-Menten kinetics.

For older men:

E2 (regular immunoassay- not sensitive)= 138.3xTT/(1470.1+TT)

DHT = 269.4xTT/(2389.6+TT)

TT= Total Testosterone

Here is the table I came up with for older men

Of course, as you can see from the graphs above, there is a lot of variability in values, so these predicted numbers are just representing the curve.

View attachment 9472
Since these estradiol values were immunoassay-based, sensitive (LC/MS) values would be lower. How much lower? We don't know since CRP values were not measured. I would multiply the estradiol numbers in the above table by 0.80 to arrive at a guess for sensitive estradiol values.


These were the baseline characteristics of both groups before they received testosterone enanthate injections. Both groups seemed relatively lean to me.

View attachment 9470

Treatment protocol:

View attachment 9471


MAIN MESSAGE: ESTRADIOL AND DHT "NORMAL RANGES" SHOWN BY LABCORP OR QUEST ARE DERIVED FROM MEN WHO DO NOT HAVE HIGH TESTOSTERONE. MANY MEN ON TRT USUALLY HAVE "HIGHER" TESTOSTERONE THAN "NORMAL", SO THOSE RANGES DO NOT APPLY TO THEM. STOP OBSESSING!
So, I am wondering why my estradiol numbers are so far above the reference, considering and test report confirms the sensitive test used. While I didn't get DHT measured, I would assume with topical cream applied to the scrotum, a substantial rate of conversion directly to DHT. It would seem, that having fairly robust free and total T, that I may be getting some aromatization occurring changing T over to Estradiol. But not sure that can account for the amount of estradiol? On the other hand, it appears that estradiol in the face of higher T and free T, doesn't cause gynecomastia, can't find it in the literature. If it does not interfere with erectile function, isn't giving me any other symptoms, should I be that concerned?
 
You are welcome.

It saddens me that week after week during the past 14 years we get posts from men who are concerned that their estradiol is high since the LabCorp and Quest ranges really apply for men not on TRT who usually do not have "high" testosterone levels.
@Nelson Vergel that is a good point and quite different than stating that healthy young men not on TRT would often/typically run an E2 70 pg/ml or higher. As shown below, if many of these guys on TRT/TOT have a TT/fT AUC much higher than their counterparts inside the physiologic range, then there's no reason why they wouldn't also have E2 levels above the physiologic range.


ef4d735ce4d1873ef290335f95456a4dbe854f7d.png



Summary of information from director of “popular/leading” TRT/TOT clinic. This ellipse covers vast majority of the patients (>10,000 patients). Median dosing is 140 mg/week (range is 100 to 180 mg/week for most). You can see what that means in terms of mean TT levels (about half in range and the other half above range for mean TT). This graph collapses all the dosing strategies (E7D, E3.5D, EOD, ED) onto one plot using approach I shared previously:
mean/trough ratiopeak/trough ratiopeak/mean ratiocheck math

q7d

1.60

2.13

1.33

1.33

q3.5d

1.20

1.40

1.10

1.17

qod

1.09

1.14

1.05

1.05

qed

1.03

1.05

1.02

1.02
After a lot of argue with Danny Bossa (and to be fair and unbiased once I had the data) I wanted to share this plot as it shows many many guys are running supra at some point or all of the week and seeming to do well. Long term who knows. I respect the MD I got this info from so you can see the median is very close (140 mg/week) to Danny’s touted starting dosage of 150 mg/week. This provider is not running his patients to fT levels of 30-50 or 50+ ng/dl but there are a good fraction running up to 30 ng/dl.
 
Last edited by a moderator:
What am I missing here?

If you take a TT of 1,000ng/dL, the formula for young men gives an E2 of approximately 33pg/mL, while the formula for older men gives an E2 of ~55pg/mL, almost double that of young men.

Has anyone actually run those numbers and compared them?

To me this could be evidence that the much higher ratio of E2 to TT is a significant reason older men don't feel as good as younger men. Actually if you look at the table in the OP, the older men's ratio of E2 to TT is double that of younger men's, 0.8 vs 0.4.

An obvious culprit could be the significant bodyfat percentage difference between old and young men. But that assumes a specific causal relationship in the direction of higher BF -> higher E2.

I'm not sure that's completely accurate. What if it was higher E2 -> higher BF -> higher E2 -> ...

I don't know about you but when I was 20yo I didn't have to work out or watch my diet to be lean. Now I have to work out like an animal to stay around 12% BF even on TRT.

I'm not sure I understand how the message here is "don't worry about E2". To me, the message looks more like "younger men have half the E2 of their older counterparts at equivalent TT levels, and that's probably the reason they feel a million times better on average"
 

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