Cardiovascular Morbidity and Mortality in Men −Time-related Measure of Risk of Exogenous T

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Cardiovascular Morbidity and Mortality in Men − Findings From a Meta-analysis on the Time-related Measure of Risk of Exogenous Testosterone (2022)
Giuseppe Fallara, MD, Edoardo Pozzi, MD, Federico Belladelli, MD, Christian Corsini, MD, Luca Boeri, MD, Paolo Capogrosso, MD, Francesco Montorsi, MD, and Andrea Salonia, MD, PhD, FECSM


Abstract

Background:
In the context of established male hypogonadism, testosterone therapy (TTh) has been employed to regain physiologic levels of circulating testosterone and improve sexual function and overall quality of life.

Aim: To assess the risk of cardiovascular disease and mortality as time-dependent outcomes in treated vs TTh untreated hypogonadal men.

Methods: A meta-analysis using weighted time-related measures of risk (hazard ratios (HRs)) for each of the outcomes for all included studies was performed. Studies investigating male adults (≥18 years old) diagnosed with hypogonadism and divided into 2 arms (a treatment arm [any TTh] and a control arm [observation or placebo]) and assessing the risk of death and/or cardiovascular events were included. Single arm, non-comparative studies were excluded as well as studies that did not report the HRs for the chosen outcomes. This systemic review was registered on PROSPERO (CRD42022301592) and performed according to MOOSE and PRISMA guidelines.

Outcomes: Overall mortality and cardiovascular events of any type.

Results: Overall, 10 studies were included in the meta-analysis, involving 179,631 hypogonadal men. Hypogonadal men treated with TTh were found to be at lower mortality risk from all causes relative to the control (observation or placebo) arm (HR: 0.70; 95% Confidence Interval [CI]: 0.54−0.90; P < .01), whilst any unfavorable effect of TTh in hypogonadal men in terms of cardiovascular events compared to untreated/observed hypogonadal men was found (HR: 0.98; 95% CI 0.73−1.33; P=.89).

Clinical implications: TTh in hypogonadal men might play a role in reducing the overall risk of death without increasing cardiovascular events risk.

Strengths & Limitations: Main limitations are represented by the high heterogeneity among the studies in terms of included population, the definition for hypogonadism, type of TTh, the definition of cardio-vascular event used, and the length of follow-up.

Conclusion: According to time-related measures of risk only, an increased risk of long-term morbidity and early mortality for untreated hypogonadal men was depicted, further outlining the clinical importance and safety of TTh in true hypogonadal men, with the urgent need of collecting long-term follow-up data.




INTRODUCTION

Published studies showed that primary hypogonadal men are at increased risk of cardiovascular events, newly-diagnosed cancers, and greater mortality rates, thus supporting the concept of the need to achieve testosterone levels within physiological ranges to prevent potential consequences of hypogonadism.1−7 However, data are not always unidirectional, as the findings of the UK Biobank prospective cohort study of community-dwelling men aged 40−69 years old, followed for 11 years, showed that lower serum testosterone was independently associated with higher all-cause and cancer-related, but not cardiovascular diseases-related, mortality in middle-aged to older men.8 Rationally, the same study depicted that lower serum sex hormone-binding globulin (SHBG) is independently associated with lower all-cause, cardiovascular diseases-related, and cancer-related mortality.8

Overall, the goal of testosterone therapy (TTh) is ideally to establish and maintain secondary sexual characteristics, sexual function, body composition, and quality of life and eventually ameliorate overall men’s health status by preventing cardiometabolic disorders, oncological malignancies and decreasing the risk of death, at least in some subpopulations.9−15 In this context, the effects of exogenous testosterone are still scantly analyzed and unknown, as it exerts a wide range of effects on various organs. Data regarding the long-term safety of TTh on overall men’s health, cancer development, and cardiovascular disease onset remained uncertain because of the lack of adequately powered trials investigating the long-term impact of such a therapy in hypogonadal men. An early suggestion of potential cardiovascular risks and increase mortality associated with the use of exogenous testosterone came from the prematurely terminated Testosterone in Older Men with Mobility Limitations (TOM) trial.16 Several meta-analyses investigated the role of TTh in promoting cardiovascular events and mortality in hypogonadal men, with conflicting findings. Some reports suggested an increase in cardiovascular risk,17,18 whilst others showed no effect.19−21 Of note, most of those studies are based on underpowered small retrospective investigations or prospective randomized and non−randomized trials, where mortality and cardiovascular events have been analyzed only as secondary outcomes. In addition, in most of the published meta-analyses, these 2 outcomes were analyzed as non-time related events, that is, by the use of relative-risk or odds-ratio, with potential undisclosed relevant biases.


*Thus, the aim of the current systematic review and meta-analysis is to summarize available evidence of the effect of TTh (whether injection, oral, or topical) on the risk of cardiovascular events and mortality as compared with placebo/observation in truly hypogonadal men by the use of a time-related measure of risk (ie, hazard ratios [HRs]).




DISCUSSION


Much has been said about the association between circulating testosterone and overall men’s health. Thereof, we focused our attention on the specific target of exogenous testosterone as a potential key player in men’s health (namely, cardiovascular morbidity and overall mortality) considering those studies which had applied only time-related measures of risk.

Novel findings of this meta-analysis showed that in hypogonadal males the use of TTh to recover physiological levels of circulating hormone is not associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular diseases as a time-dependent outcome. Likewise, TTh was not associated with greater mortality risk in hypogonadal men, where TTh might instead be even protective toward the risk of death compared to the condition of untreated hypogonadism.




In conclusion, the current meta-analysis, which has only considered time-related measures of risk, did not find an association between TTh and major cardiovascular events while a protective role of TTh emerged for overall mortality when compared to hypogonadal men who did not receive TTh. These results are consistent with most of the current literature.
A meta-analysis taking into consideration 75 different placebo-controlled randomized trials observed no increase in cardiovascular risk in men with metabolic disorders.21 Fernandez-Balsells et al., in a meta-analysis including randomized and nonrandomized studies, observed no differences in all-cause mortality, the incidence of coronary bypass surgery, or myocardial infarction when comparing men who did with those who did not.20 Similarly, the evidence regarding the association between low levels of endogenous testosterone and the mortality risk from all-cause and from cardiovascular events are quite convincing. In this context, in a huge population-based study, Haring et al. found that low testosterone levels were linked with an increased risk of mortality.43 Moreover, Belladelli et al. using data from a population of men included in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) observed that those with low testosterone-to-estradiol ratio had a higher risk of cardiovascular mortality.44 A recent randomized clinical trial from Wittert et al., found that men aged 50−74 years with T2DM or impaired glucose tolerance and a serum testosterone concentration of 14 nmol/L or lower who randomly received intramuscular testosterone or placebo for 2 years did not show any difference in terms of cardiovascular events or mortality.45 Lastly, in a meta-analysis from Araujo et al. it was shown that low testosterone levels were associated with both increased all-cause and cardiovascular-related mortality.46

The rationale behind our study derives from the consideration that a true condition of hypogonadism may actually be associated with a greater risk of developing different morbidities − including cardiovascular problems − and even greater mortality risk as compared with the eugonadal status. However, to try and rigorously answer this doubt, we have inversely reasoned, thus developing a systematic review and meta-analysis to summarize available evidence of the effect of TTh on both those risks compared to either placebo treatment or observation in hypogonadal men via the use of time-related measures of risk (ie, HRs). This is in contrast with most of the published meta-analyses on the same topics, where ORs have been used as measures of the effect of TTh in hypogonadal men. However, this latter approach does not consider the time-to-event nature of data on either cardiovascular events or mortality, thus possibly biasing the results of pooled analyses. In addition, for several studies included in most of the previously published meta-analyses, cardiovascular events and mortality were secondary/safety outcomes and there were few events of that specific type for each of the included studies or an inadequate length of follow-up.47,48 To overcome these limitations and according to the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions (Version 6.2, 2021) - where it is stated that “the most appropriate way of summarizing time-to-event data is to use methods of survival analysis and express the intervention effect as a hazard ratio” - HRs from Cox models of the studies included in the current meta-analysis was used as a measure of effects for both cardiovascular events and mortality.49 In addition, most of the included studies are population registry-based studies with thousands of patients and hundreds of events analyzed.

Notwithstanding this approach is a strength of the analysis, this study is certainly not devoid of limitations.
First, the criterion for identifying hypogonadal men is still one of the biggest challenges in everyday clinical practice,10,11,14,42 particularly when considering different laboratory thresholds, a different number of testosterone assessments and measurement units among studies, different laboratory techniques, and the modality and time of blood withdrawal. The definition of hypogonadism used across the included studies ranged from a rigorous application of the definition according to the international guidelines (serum testosterone deficiency and symptoms) to the identification of patients likely hypogonadic on the sole base of a TTh prescription. No subanalysis was possible for those who were correctly identified as hypogonadic only, according to the international guideline’s definition. However, since the benefit of TTh emerged also in our more heterogeneous cohort, it is likely that this benefit of TTh in terms of decreased cardiovascular risk, might be more evident in the correct (“true”) hypogonadic population where the risk of major cardiovascular events is more pronounced. Second, some of the available studies did evaluate different sub-populations of patients (eg, patients with a previous history of known cardiovascular disease, patients with and without recovery of normal serum total testosterone levels, etc.) therefore resulting in a wide source of heterogeneity. Third, most published studies presented different lengths of follow-up, thus further contributing to the heterogeneity of the reported data. In addition, another source of heterogeneity was the TTh modality, varying in terms of dose, route of administration, and duration of treatment. Finally, given the retrospective nature of most of the included studies, there may be the risk of possible unmeasured biases. Given all these limitations, the risk of unmeasured biases, and the high heterogeneity of works published until now, the design of well-powered, prospective randomized control trials is of utmost importance.





CONCLUSION

The findings of this meta-analysis rigorously based on the use of time-related measures of risk only showed an increased risk of long-term morbidity and early mortality for untreated hypogonadal men, while further outlining the clinical importance and safety of testosterone therapy in true hypogonadal men deserving to be treated, with the urgent need of collecting long-term follow-up data.
 

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Table 1. Characteristics of the studies included in the pooled analysis for cardiovascular events after testosterone therapy
Screenshot (15407).png
 

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Figure 2. Forrest plots assessing the risk of cardiovascular events in hypogonadal men treated with testosterone therapy vs hypogonadal men treated with placebo or observed. (A) pooled analysis including all studies; (B) pooled analysis excluding those groups with non−normalization of total testosterone after testosterone therapy.
Screenshot (15408).png

Screenshot (15409).png
 

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Table 2. Characteristics of the studies included in the pooled analysis for overall mortality after testosterone therapy
Screenshot (15410).png
 

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Figure 3. Forrest plots assessing the risk of death in hypogonadal men treated with testosterone therapy vs hypogonadal men treated with placebo or observed. (A) pooled analysis including all studies; (B) pooled analysis excluding those groups with non−normalization of total testosterone after testosterone therapy.
Screenshot (15411).png

Screenshot (15412).png
 

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Adverse cardiovascular events and mortality in men during testosterone treatment: an individual patient and aggregate data meta-analysis (2022)


In summary, our findings indicate that testosterone treatment did not increase the risks of any subtype of a cardiovascular event in men with hypogonadism and did not identify any patient characteristics that were associated with a significantly increased risk of cardiovascular events during testosterone treatment.
Furthermore, we observed a similar mortality rate during testosterone treatment when compared with placebo, which was reassuring. A meta-analysis of several observational studies63 reported an association between low endogenous testosterone concentrations and increased risk of cardiovascular events, suggesting, notwithstanding the possibility of reverse causality, that testosterone therapy might result in some beneficial effects on the cardiovascular system. According to the results of our analysis, the overall short to medium-term effect of testosterone seems neutral.

In view of the lack of consistent cardiovascular event classification, adjudication, or reporting within trials, we did a masked analysis of each individual adverse event by two independent clinicians to classify cardiovascular events from all IPD studies objectively. We successfully obtained data from 3431 (61·3%) of the 5601 participants included in eligible published trials, but IPD from some studies could not be included due to data loss, retirement or death of lead investigators or unwillingness of two pharmaceutical sponsors (Bayer AG, Kyowa Kirin) to disclose them. To assess the effect of studies for which IPD were not available, we extracted appropriate aggregate study-level data and incorporated them alongside the IPD using two-stage IPD random-effect meta-analyses.64 Our aggregate meta-analysis suggested that outcome data were not significantly discrepant between our IPD and non-IPD studies. Nevertheless, we cannot exclude that a high number of unreported cardiovascular events in the nonIPD studies could ultimately change the conclusions of our analysis. The very small total number of deaths recorded during testosterone trials limits our ability to analyze why they occurred. The mean follow-up of included randomized controlled trials was 9·5 months, which might be too short for atherosclerotic plaque progression to accrue. This is important since the Testosterone Trials observed that a 12-month duration of testosterone treatment was associated with a significantly greater increase in coronary artery non-calcified plaque volume versus placebo, in older men.65 This finding has led some to advocate coronary artery calcium scoring before treatment of high-risk individuals with underlying cardiovascular disease, due to the remaining possibility that testosterone might be riskier in such individuals.

*However, we observed no significant associations between existing (baseline) cardiovascular or cerebrovascular events and risks of future events during the first 9·5 months after initiation of testosterone treatment
 

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The data remain inconclusive, and many men with hypogonadism who might benefit from testosterone replacement therapy could be unnecessarily deterred from this potentially helpful therapy.

To help shed light on this clinical dilemma, in this issue of The Lancet Healthy Longevity, Jemma Hudson and colleagues10 did a meta-analysis of 35 placebo-controlled trials of testosterone replacement therapy that included 5601 men with low baseline testosterone concentrations (≤12 nmol/L [350 ng/dL]) and 17 of these trials had individual patient-level data available. The mean duration of treatment was 9·5 months. However, during this short-term follow-up, reassuringly, there was no significantly increased risk of cardiovascular events between the testosterone replacement therapy group and placebo groups (odds ratio 1·07 [95% CI 0·81–1·42]; p=0·62). Furthermore, there was no particular subgroup identified at significantly increased risk for cardiovascular events with testosterone replacement therapy. The average age of participants in the trials was 65 years (SD 11), and about 8% of participants had a history of myocardial infarction. However, there was no evidence for treatment interaction by baseline cardiovascular status or age.

First, congratulations to the authors for performing the largest individual-level analysis of testosterone trials to date. The authors were able to investigate the relationship of testosterone replacement therapy with multiple subtypes of cardiovascular disease and non-cardiovascular outcomes, as well as changes in several physiological markers (ie, glycemia, blood pressure, hematocrit, and lipids).
Although the authors report significant reductions in total cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and triglycerides with testosterone replacement therapy, it should be acknowledged that these changes were rather modest— for example, only a 3% difference in low-density lipoprotein cholesterol concentrations was observed.

Although their analysis is reassuring for safety, meta-analyses are only as good as the underlying data available. Unfortunately, the data are still too insufficient to make conclusions on outcomes because the follow-up period was too short. The duration ranged from 3 months to 3 years in the trials and results were not changed by including follow-up time in the models, but there was little evidence to support cardiovascular safety beyond a 12-month duration. Future trials will require longer follow-ups.


There is an ongoing cardiovascular outcome trial for testosterone replacement therapy—the TRAVERSE trial (NCT03518034). This trial enrolled 5246 men between the ages of 45–80 years with low serum testosterone concentrations (<300 ng/dL) who have at least one sign or symptom of hypogonadism and either have established cardiovascular risk or are at high risk for cardiovascular disease. Participants were randomly assigned to receive testosterone gel or placebo, and the primary outcome is a major adverse cardiovascular event (nonfatal myocardial infarction, non-fatal stroke, or cardiovascular death) at 60 months. The trial began in 2018 and is anticipated to finish in late 2022.

In summary, we should wait for the results of TRAVERSE to be published before the widespread use of testosterone replacement therapy is considered. Certainly, great caution is advised regarding the use of testosterone replacement therapy in people with established atherosclerosis due to the findings of plaque progression in the Testosterone Trials7 and the excess cardiovascular events observed in the TOM trial.6 At this time, hormone therapy should still be used selectively, paying attention to the cardiovascular risk profile in individuals.
 

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4. Conclusion

The therapeutic approach for TT for symptomatic hypogonadism and low testosterone levels associated with aging, obesity, and systemic illness presents challenges. These conditions are intricately linked with CVD outcomes and may confound the relationship between low testosterone and CVD. Although observational studies suggest an association between low testosterone and increased risk of CVD, results from testosterone supplementation are inconsistent. RCTs indicate that short-term TT at standard replacement is not associated with increased CVD risk. Nevertheless, the cardiovascular sub-study of T Trials observed increases in NCP and CAC, signaling the need for further investigation into potential long-term implications of TT.

The TRAVERSE trial, a landmark study unique in its capacity to evaluate CVD events, contributes valuable insights into the short-term safety of TT at lower physiological levels. However, the long-term effects and implications of mid to high physiological testosterone levels are not yet fully understood. The trials’ limitations — achievement of only low-normal testosterone levels, high discontinuation rates, brief follow-up period, and high loss to follow-up rate — suggest that the findings should be interpreted with caution. It is important to avoid generalizing the safety of TT based on these results alone and to approach the extrapolation of TRAVERSE’s conclusions to higher dosages or longer-term therapy with caution.

The decision to initiate TT requires a nuanced approach, which must account for current gaps in evidence regarding CV safety. A personalized assessment and management of CVD risk factors is essential for older men with known CVD. The CV effects of exogenous testosterone, when given to maintain physiological levels, remain to be fully explored. In this regard, an important question remains the identification of male patients with symptomatic hypogonadism who may benefit from TT. This topic continues to be the subject of ongoing debate. Hopefully, future trials will provide clarity on whether TT confers beneficial, neutral, or adverse cardiovascular effects in middle-aged and older men. Until definitive evidence surfaces, clinical practice should exercise caution and prioritize individualized care with informed discussions regarding the potential CV implications of TT.
 
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